Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.388141 0.451615 0.521809 0.605139 0.701318 0.808801 0.937993
2025-03-16 0.270498 0.351783 0.451615 0.583011 0.751184 0.959006 1.235156
2025-03-23 0.229465 0.322920 0.446525 0.621453 0.862123 1.181072 1.635357
2025-03-30 0.184893 0.277800 0.408448 0.604747 0.891331 1.293469 1.899585
2025-04-06 0.151603 0.241210 0.374142 0.584547 0.907941 1.384702 2.139192
2025-04-13 0.126589 0.212094 0.345199 0.565964 0.921272 1.468677 2.373390
2025-04-20 0.111822 0.196341 0.333774 0.571548 0.970431 1.609768 2.708315
2025-04-27 0.104219 0.190996 0.337822 0.601796 1.061611 1.825481 3.184947
2025-05-04 0.095636 0.182515 0.335139 0.619662 1.133131 2.015292 3.637829
2025-05-11 0.086560 0.171715 0.326763 0.625950 1.184340 2.174724 4.053938
2025-05-18 0.077519 0.159605 0.314285 0.622778 1.217324 2.304335 4.428939
2025-05-25 0.069186 0.147642 0.300447 0.615015 1.240210 2.416926 4.782885
2025-06-01 0.062434 0.138117 0.290486 0.614280 1.277911 2.563674 5.222823
2025-06-08 0.054347 0.124672 0.271059 0.592233 1.271129 2.625179 5.505648
2025-06-15 0.052881 0.125314 0.280645 0.631284 1.393094 2.952161 6.352746
2025-06-22 0.046802 0.114725 0.264974 0.614323 1.395258 3.036666 6.710647
2025-06-29 0.041233 0.104479 0.248687 0.593812 1.387014 3.098018 7.025192
2025-07-06 0.036479 0.095468 0.233991 0.574943 1.379921 3.160476 7.347740
2025-07-13 0.033862 0.091336 0.230075 0.580613 1.429236 3.350680 7.972368
2025-07-20 0.032970 0.091463 0.236324 0.611326 1.540490 3.690219 8.969874
2025-07-27 0.031398 0.089585 0.237413 0.629466 1.623582 3.973468 9.865302
2025-08-03 0.029341 0.086096 0.234007 0.635850 1.678468 4.196084 10.639324
2025-08-10 0.027019 0.081526 0.227221 0.632630 1.708725 4.362568 11.293649